A phenomenological model of parameter growth in engineering systems


  • Alexander Priven ITC, Inc.
  • Alexander Kynin Saint Petersburg State Polytechnic University




A new model for approximation and prediction of growth of the parameters of engineering systems is suggested. The model derives the rate of growth not only from the considered system itself but also from the characteristics of the competitive systems and the super-system that play a role similar to the “driving force” in thermodynamics. The suggested model is written in the form of the system of few differential equations that can be solved by numeric calculations, similarly to the simulation of the structural relaxation phenomena in super-cooled liquids. Some examples of applications of the simplified model are presented